Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 326.381318 370.309321 419.334717 478.356667 547.817075 627.367912 725.946377
2025-07-06 250.170337 304.275172 370.073270 456.909720 569.887298 713.842773 914.327961
2025-07-13 223.990124 285.460558 364.720445 476.277707 632.312540 847.572639 1175.677622
2025-07-20 206.368242 273.167990 363.534699 497.773151 697.547822 993.084611 1481.931370
2025-07-27 187.364877 255.644518 351.657411 500.734881 734.402254 1101.332198 1753.430579
2025-08-03 167.939007 234.810139 331.845581 488.105486 743.900416 1166.549307 1966.243033
2025-08-10 152.744129 218.258056 316.035997 478.777838 756.021149 1236.396826 2201.275256
2025-08-17 145.337610 212.423482 315.538073 493.269479 809.290646 1385.994366 2624.180640
2025-08-24 135.407541 201.623134 305.907339 490.988074 832.230703 1483.384769 2965.815255
2025-08-31 125.624520 190.115636 293.875129 482.854898 842.789342 1558.027100 3277.185456
2025-09-07 118.839397 182.820447 288.014499 484.758035 872.301551 1675.896272 3723.000040
2025-09-14 110.680250 172.568780 276.151138 474.187608 875.424128 1738.007673 4048.535254
2025-09-21 104.512494 165.366893 269.234988 472.722551 898.225732 1851.245090 4556.562686
2025-09-28 95.988340 153.529690 253.173308 451.955465 877.573843 1860.953763 4780.377200
2025-10-05 94.000001 152.868973 257.113051 471.023525 946.394785 2100.492440 5785.516753
2025-10-12 92.374467 152.686937 261.856281 492.234039 1023.697324 2380.907980 7057.844469
2025-10-19 88.554708 148.231265 258.112932 495.155086 1058.484143 2556.996556 8056.628720
2025-10-26 83.247857 140.671195 247.772147 482.696522 1053.797769 2621.630507 8668.174131
2025-11-02 78.747151 134.322509 239.314627 473.494381 1055.984874 2707.399147 9412.948766
2025-11-09 77.110836 133.257098 241.237906 487.790798 1121.260929 3001.952211 11236.254170
2025-11-16 73.885785 128.930452 236.215561 485.540211 1142.116626 3161.913365 12546.529245
2025-11-23 70.333915 123.751277 229.057567 477.516645 1145.905296 3266.892473 13657.075967
2025-11-30 67.956584 120.728760 226.161014 479.394169 1178.079252 3479.422574 15507.534359